U.S. natural gas futures fell about 2% to a more than two-week low on April 15, weighed down by lower demand forecasts for this week than previously expected due primarily to a drop in feedgas to the Freeport LNG export plant in Texas.
Front-month gas futures for April delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange were 3.4 cents lower, or 1.9%, to $1.74/MMBtu by 10:16 a.m. ET.
"As long as it's (Freeport LNG) offline, the market is going to stay little sluggish,... there's not enough weather demand too, to overcompensate for the that loss of demand on the LNG export," said Thomas Saal, senior vice president for energy at StoneX Financia.
Gas flows to the seven big U.S. LNG export plants slid to an average of 12.3 Bcf/d so far in April, down from 13.1 Bcf/d in March. That compares with a monthly record of 14.7 Bcf/d in December.
The amount of gas flowing to Freeport was at 0.1 Bcf/d on April 15, down from a recent high of 1.1 Bcf/d on April 9 and an average of 0.4 Bcf/d over the prior seven days.
Financial firm LSEG said gas output in the Lower 48 U.S. states has fallen to an average of 97.6 Bcf/d so far in April, down from 100.8 Bcf/d in March. That compares with a monthly record of 105.6 Bcf/d in December 2023.
LSEG forecast gas demand in the Lower 48, including exports, would fall from 99.3 Bcf/d last week to 92.4 Bcf/d this week. Those forecasts were lower than LSEG's outlook on Friday.
"With LNG demand still constrained, reduced output hasn’t been sufficient to prop this market much, especially with last week's EIA storage injection coming in appreciably above virtually all industry forecasts," energy advisory Ritterbusch and Associates said in a note.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration on April 11 said utilities injected 24 Bcf of gas to the storage during the week ended April 5.
The European benchmark wholesale gas price were mixed as record high gas storage levels in Europe helped offset geopolitical concerns and forecasts for cooler temperatures later this week.
Recommended Reading
Enverus: Permian Gains Will Sustain US Oil Production Through 2030
2024-05-09 - Crude output gains from the Permian Basin will keep U.S. oil production relatively flat entering the 2030s, offsetting declines from mature oily basins, according to Enverus Intelligence Research.
Enverus: 1Q Upstream Deals Hit $51B, but Consolidation is Slowing
2024-04-23 - Oil and gas dealmaking continued at a high clip in the first quarter, especially in the Permian Basin. But a thinning list of potential takeout targets, and an invigorated Federal Trade Commission, are chilling the red-hot M&A market.
Mighty Midland Still Beckons Dealmakers
2024-04-05 - The Midland Basin is the center of U.S. oil drilling activity. But only those with the biggest balance sheets can afford to buy in the basin's core, following a historic consolidation trend.
Life on the Edge: Surge of Activity Ignites the Northern Midland Basin
2024-04-03 - Once a company with low outside expectations, Surge Energy is now a premier private producer in one of the world’s top shale plays.
CEO Darren Woods: What’s Driving Permian M&A for Exxon, Other E&Ps
2024-03-18 - Since acquiring XTO for $36 billion in 2010, Exxon Mobil has gotten better at drilling unconventional shale plays. But it needed Pioneer’s high-quality acreage to keep running in the Permian Basin, CEO Darren Woods said at CERAWeek by S&P Global.